Northeast Dubois
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #136
Brown County Semi-State Rank #32
Crawford County Regional Rank #9
Jasper Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating North Harrison Invitational Tri County Invitational Princeton Invitational Crawford County Invitational Blue Chip Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/31 9/5 9/12 9/16 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 944 1,115 1,115 1,071 911 939
Team Adjusted Rating 1,115 1,115 1,071 911 939
State RankRunnerSeason Rating North Harrison Invitational Tri County Invitational Princeton Invitational Crawford County Invitational Blue Chip Conference Jasper Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
411  Jeb Knies 12 17:24 17:17 17:09 17:07 17:57 17:36 17:01 17:49
448  Nathan Schnell 10 17:28 17:46 17:33 17:30 17:20 17:42 17:15 17:18 17:30
512  Jaydon Arnold 12 17:35 19:18 18:33 18:05 17:48 17:14 17:17 17:42
Pierce Brinkman 9 19:36 20:03 19:12 19:39 19:24 19:22 19:51 19:58
Ethan Breitwieser 10 19:48 20:47 20:53 21:43 20:41 20:18 19:27
Trevor Buechler 9 20:34 20:46 20:49 21:15 21:04 20:06 20:20
Carter Beckman 9 21:37 22:05 22:24 21:18 21:29 21:21
Colby Stafford 10 21:54 23:13 21:51 21:32




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 7.7 182 0.2 1.9 7.5 26.4 45.8 15.1 3.2
Sectionals 100% 4.5 125 0.1 1.9 54.8 32.0 11.0 0.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jeb Knies 96.7% 78.0 96.7% 96.7%
Nathan Schnell 93.2% 81.8 93.2% 93.2%
Jaydon Arnold 80.0% 89.3 80.0% 80.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jeb Knies 100% 18.9 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 2.3 3.4 5.5 6.8 9.4 10.6 11.4 11.4 9.2 7.6 4.0 5.1 3.0 100.0%
Nathan Schnell 100% 20.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.3 2.7 3.8 6.1 8.6 10.5 9.5 10.5 9.8 8.1 5.9 4.8 100.0%
Jaydon Arnold 100% 23.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.6 2.5 3.4 5.5 6.9 8.5 10.3 10.1 7.3 7.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jeb Knies 10.9 0.6 1.2 5.2 10.2 16.9 17.5 16.4 13.7 7.8 5.3 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.2
Nathan Schnell 11.8 0.2 0.8 2.7 5.8 11.1 14.9 17.8 13.0 14.1 8.8 4.5 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.1
Jaydon Arnold 13.7 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.4 5.5 10.7 15.6 17.4 16.0 10.7 8.0 5.5 3.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1